In 2011, especially in the first quarter, the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will obviously decrease compared with 2010. It is expected that the growth rate of production and sales in 2011 will fall to around 15%, and the profit growth rate may be lower than the increase in production and sales.
According to the latest statistical results, in 2010, the production and sales of the machinery industry achieved an increase of more than 30%, a record high, among which the production and sales of the construction machinery and machine tool industry grew significantly, and the export delivery value showed a recovery growth. The scale of import and export trade Continue to expand. In the monthly output of 119 kinds of major products of the China Machinery Industry Federation, the accumulated year-on-year increase accounted for 89.92% of all reported product varieties.
The year 2010 is the most complicated year for the international and domestic economic situation faced by the machinery industry. Under the guidance of a series of correct measures of the country, the economic operation of the industry has maintained a steady and rapid growth, and the major indicators of economic efficiency have been fully satisfactory. While the industry from "restorative growth" to "recovery and growth", some industries have achieved extraordinary development, and there has been a good momentum of technological advancement, independent innovation, and the development of high-end equipment support industries.
Looking ahead to 2011, the economic operation of the machinery industry is expected to maintain a good momentum of development. The annual production and sales volume is expected to achieve a growth rate of approximately 15% over the previous year.
Production and sales show steady and rapid growth. After the total output value jumped to a new level of 10 trillion yuan for the first time in 2009, the total output value of the machinery industry hit a record high in 2010. The industry's total industrial output value reached 14,384.681 billion yuan, an increase of 33.93% over the same period of last year. The growth rate increased by 17.86 percentage points over the same period of last year. In the month of December, the industrial output value was 1,48.039 billion yuan, a record high. In 2010, the entire industry achieved a total sales value of 1,405,396 million yuan, an increase of 34.26% year-on-year, an increase of 18.15 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. Looking at the growth rate of production in various months of the year, although the growth rate of the production and sales of the machinery industry in the first 11 months of 2010 showed a monthly decline, the production growth rate in December was slightly higher than that in October and November. Steady and rapid growth. Due to the low growth rate of production and sales in the previous year, the growth rate of production in 2010 was a relatively high year in recent years.
The sales rate of machinery products in 2010 was 97.74%, which was 0.24 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year, but slightly lower than the national industrial product sales rate (97.93%). Looking at the scale of different enterprises, the maximum sales rate of large-scale enterprises is 98.43%, which is 0.33 percentage points higher than the previous year, 97.51% for medium-sized enterprises, 0.26 percentage points higher than the previous year, and 97.48% for small-scale enterprises, which is 0.18 percentage points higher than the previous year. .
The growth of production in the engineering and machine tool industries highlights that in the machinery industry in 2010, the production in 12 industries showed a growth trend. There are 5 industries with growth rates higher than the industry average, followed by: construction machinery, machine tools, automobiles, mechanical basic parts and internal combustion engine industry. Among them, the production of construction machinery and machine tool industry grew significantly, accumulatively increasing by 48.09% and 40.95% year-on-year, respectively, and the growth rate increased by more than 23% from the previous year. However, the growth rate of production in seven industries is lower than the industry average. These industries are agricultural machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, heavy mining machinery, electrical appliances, and food packaging machinery industries. The growth rate is above 25%. .
The rapid growth of the output value of new products The total output value of new products completed in 2010 was 272.513 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.07%. The output value of new products showed rapid growth, but the output value of new products was the same as that of the previous year, which was 18.92%. From various industries, the output rate of new products in seven industries increased over the previous year, namely, construction machinery, instrumentation, cultural and office equipment, general petrochemical machinery, electrical appliances, mechanical basics, and food packaging machinery industries, and the automotive industry Product output rate has decreased from the previous year. However, from the perspective of contribution rate, the automotive industry contributed the most to the growth of the output value of new products, which was 52.14%; the electrical and electronic appliances industry took the second place, accounting for 19.95%; the construction machinery industry and the petrochemical general industry ranked third and fourth respectively.
The export delivery value showed a recovery growth. In 2010, the export delivery value of the whole industry reached 1.449380 trillion yuan, an increase of 34.32% year-on-year, an increase of 52.85 percentage points over the same period of the previous year (-18.53%), and the overall export delivery value showed an increase. Trends, but the growth rate is slowing month by month. At the same time, the value of export delivery fell by 0.13 percentage points compared with the previous year, of which the industries with large declines were: heavy mining machinery, instrumentation, internal combustion engine, and food packaging machinery industry, with a year-on-year decline of more than 1 percentage point. The industry with the highest value of export delivery in 2010 was the cultural and office industry, which reached 73.37%; the following is 18.99% for the instrumentation industry, 14.26% for the electrical appliance industry, and 10.57% for the petrochemical general industry.
Nearly 90% of the main products increased year-on-year in the 119 kinds of main products reported by the China National Machine Link monthly report, accumulatively 107 products increased year-on-year, accounting for 89.92% of all reported products; of these, products with more than double digits had 85 This accounted for 71.43% of all reported products; cumulatively, there were 11 products that decreased year-on-year, accounting for 9.24% of all reported products. Some of the product output has reached a new level. Details are as follows:
Under the influence of the national agricultural machinery subsidy policy, the output of major agricultural machinery products has grown rapidly, and large-scale tractors, on-site operating machinery, and food processing machinery have grown by more than 30%. In particular, grain processing machinery has grown rapidly, with a year-on-year increase of 50.88%. The year-on-year decline in agricultural machinery products was dedicated equipment for feed production, which fell by 4.26%.
The output of most products in the petrochemical GM industry has increased at different levels compared to the previous year. Products that have maintained growth above 30% include: special equipment for oil refining and chemical production, vacuum pumps, fans, gas compressors, compressors for refrigeration equipment, and oil drilling equipment. Plastic processing equipment and other products, of which oil drilling equipment grew significantly, an increase of 89%. However, the output of gas separation and liquefaction equipment, air pollution control equipment, solid waste treatment equipment, and noise and vibration control equipment have declined in different degrees, and dropped by more than 12% year-on-year.
In 2010, excavation and shovel transportation machinery products maintained rapid growth, among which the excavator and loader grew faster, which was an increase of over 45% year-on-year. Concrete machinery with a lower growth rate is also maintained at more than 9%.
Among the heavy machinery products listed in the monthly report, except for the metal rolling equipment, the other products all had different degrees of growth over the previous year, of which the faster-growing machines were conveyors, which increased by 37.82% year-on-year. Metal rolling equipment decreased by 3.18% year-on-year.
Among the 10 products in the monthly statistics of instrumentation and cultural office equipment industry, there are 8 kinds of products showing increasing trends. The fastest growing products in the instrumentation industry were automotive instrumentation, industrial automation instrumentation and control systems, and optical instruments, which increased by more than 25% year-on-year; environmental monitoring-specific instrumentation and analytical instruments and devices decreased by 1.78% and 1.79%, respectively. The number of cameras, digital cameras and offset offset printing equipment in the cultural and office industry all showed a year-on-year growth. The faster growth was for copying and offset printing equipment, which increased by 22.52% year-on-year.
In 2010, both metal cutting machine tools and metal forming machine tools maintained rapid growth with year-on-year growth of more than 18%. Among them, CNC metal-cutting machine tools had outstanding growth, which was an increase of 66.71% year-on-year, an increase of 67.17 percentage points over the previous year. The year-on-year growth of CNC equipment continues to be more than doubled.
In 2010, the automobile industry continued to develop rapidly under the support of national policies and produced a total of 18.2647 million automobiles, an increase of 32.44% over the previous year. Among them, the increase in passenger cars was 28.17%, the growth rate of multi-purpose passenger cars was 79.89%, and sports multipurpose Vehicles increased by 103.38%, buses by 29.93%, and trucks by 22.72%.
Low-speed trucks changed the downward trend in the first 11 months, which was a year-on-year increase of 1.55%.
In 2010, the production of power generation equipment was 122.6421 million kilowatts, an increase of 4.6% year-on-year, an increase of 16.5 percentage points over the previous year. Judging from the classification of power generation equipment, the hydropower generating units decreased by 9.7% year-on-year, the growth rate decreased by 2.1 percentage points from the previous year, and the turbine generators increased by 1.4% year-on-year, an increase of 19.9 percentage points over the previous year. The output of new energy wind turbines maintained rapid growth, a year-on-year increase of 53.8%. In 2010, the growth of power transmission equipment was rapid, with transformers and power capacitors all growing at more than 27%, and low-voltage switchboards increased by 72.44% year-on-year.
2011 will continue to achieve double-digit growth 2011 is the first year of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". Under the combined effects of multiple factors, the development of the machinery industry is expected to achieve rapid and steady growth from 2010 to the future. change.
From the perspective of favorable factors, the overall economic operating environment of the machinery industry is relatively good. The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†will inject new vitality into the development of the machinery industry, and plan the development of seven strategic emerging industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection, high-end equipment manufacturing, and new energy vehicles. The full launch will bring about the start of construction of a large number of industrial upgrading projects. At the same time, the country’s increased policy support for new strategic industries will boost the long-term development of the industry. In addition, the initial results of industrial restructuring, the acceleration of technological progress, and the rejuvenation of corporate rejuvenation activities, the constant emergence of high-end and new products are all conducive to the healthy development of the industry. In 2011, the global economy began to gradually recover and the foreign trade market experienced a recovery growth. The overall situation will not be worse than in 2010.
Judging from the unfavorable factors, the growth momentum of the mechanical enterprises' own intrinsic momentum still needs to be strengthened; investment growth is beginning to decline, and investment demand is difficult to be optimistic; the overall RMB is still in an upward trend; the import of machinery products will continue to grow at a rapid rate; the rise of international trade protectionism will make foreign trade The situation is hard to be optimistic; costs are on the rise. With the tight supply of coal, electricity, and oil, and the general increase in prices, raw material prices are likely to regain momentum and will push up the cost of the machinery industry; With the gradual elimination of policies, the growth rate of several related industries such as automobiles will tend to be flat.
In summary, in 2011, especially in the first quarter, the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will be significantly lower than that in 2010. It is expected that the growth rate of production and sales in 2011 will fall to around 15%, and the profit growth rate may be low. Increase in production and sales.
The operating status of the machinery industry in 2011 will be presented as follows: While the economic operation speed is falling, the structural upgrading of mechanical products will be more conscious, the merger and reorganization of enterprises will become more active, and the momentum for independent innovation of high-end equipment will be even stronger. It will increasingly shift to R&D and testing, and it is expected that the strength of the basic bottlenecks will gradually increase, and the pace of foreign trade export upgrades will accelerate.
According to the latest statistical results, in 2010, the production and sales of the machinery industry achieved an increase of more than 30%, a record high, among which the production and sales of the construction machinery and machine tool industry grew significantly, and the export delivery value showed a recovery growth. The scale of import and export trade Continue to expand. In the monthly output of 119 kinds of major products of the China Machinery Industry Federation, the accumulated year-on-year increase accounted for 89.92% of all reported product varieties.
The year 2010 is the most complicated year for the international and domestic economic situation faced by the machinery industry. Under the guidance of a series of correct measures of the country, the economic operation of the industry has maintained a steady and rapid growth, and the major indicators of economic efficiency have been fully satisfactory. While the industry from "restorative growth" to "recovery and growth", some industries have achieved extraordinary development, and there has been a good momentum of technological advancement, independent innovation, and the development of high-end equipment support industries.
Looking ahead to 2011, the economic operation of the machinery industry is expected to maintain a good momentum of development. The annual production and sales volume is expected to achieve a growth rate of approximately 15% over the previous year.
Production and sales show steady and rapid growth. After the total output value jumped to a new level of 10 trillion yuan for the first time in 2009, the total output value of the machinery industry hit a record high in 2010. The industry's total industrial output value reached 14,384.681 billion yuan, an increase of 33.93% over the same period of last year. The growth rate increased by 17.86 percentage points over the same period of last year. In the month of December, the industrial output value was 1,48.039 billion yuan, a record high. In 2010, the entire industry achieved a total sales value of 1,405,396 million yuan, an increase of 34.26% year-on-year, an increase of 18.15 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. Looking at the growth rate of production in various months of the year, although the growth rate of the production and sales of the machinery industry in the first 11 months of 2010 showed a monthly decline, the production growth rate in December was slightly higher than that in October and November. Steady and rapid growth. Due to the low growth rate of production and sales in the previous year, the growth rate of production in 2010 was a relatively high year in recent years.
The sales rate of machinery products in 2010 was 97.74%, which was 0.24 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year, but slightly lower than the national industrial product sales rate (97.93%). Looking at the scale of different enterprises, the maximum sales rate of large-scale enterprises is 98.43%, which is 0.33 percentage points higher than the previous year, 97.51% for medium-sized enterprises, 0.26 percentage points higher than the previous year, and 97.48% for small-scale enterprises, which is 0.18 percentage points higher than the previous year. .
The growth of production in the engineering and machine tool industries highlights that in the machinery industry in 2010, the production in 12 industries showed a growth trend. There are 5 industries with growth rates higher than the industry average, followed by: construction machinery, machine tools, automobiles, mechanical basic parts and internal combustion engine industry. Among them, the production of construction machinery and machine tool industry grew significantly, accumulatively increasing by 48.09% and 40.95% year-on-year, respectively, and the growth rate increased by more than 23% from the previous year. However, the growth rate of production in seven industries is lower than the industry average. These industries are agricultural machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, heavy mining machinery, electrical appliances, and food packaging machinery industries. The growth rate is above 25%. .
The rapid growth of the output value of new products The total output value of new products completed in 2010 was 272.513 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.07%. The output value of new products showed rapid growth, but the output value of new products was the same as that of the previous year, which was 18.92%. From various industries, the output rate of new products in seven industries increased over the previous year, namely, construction machinery, instrumentation, cultural and office equipment, general petrochemical machinery, electrical appliances, mechanical basics, and food packaging machinery industries, and the automotive industry Product output rate has decreased from the previous year. However, from the perspective of contribution rate, the automotive industry contributed the most to the growth of the output value of new products, which was 52.14%; the electrical and electronic appliances industry took the second place, accounting for 19.95%; the construction machinery industry and the petrochemical general industry ranked third and fourth respectively.
The export delivery value showed a recovery growth. In 2010, the export delivery value of the whole industry reached 1.449380 trillion yuan, an increase of 34.32% year-on-year, an increase of 52.85 percentage points over the same period of the previous year (-18.53%), and the overall export delivery value showed an increase. Trends, but the growth rate is slowing month by month. At the same time, the value of export delivery fell by 0.13 percentage points compared with the previous year, of which the industries with large declines were: heavy mining machinery, instrumentation, internal combustion engine, and food packaging machinery industry, with a year-on-year decline of more than 1 percentage point. The industry with the highest value of export delivery in 2010 was the cultural and office industry, which reached 73.37%; the following is 18.99% for the instrumentation industry, 14.26% for the electrical appliance industry, and 10.57% for the petrochemical general industry.
Nearly 90% of the main products increased year-on-year in the 119 kinds of main products reported by the China National Machine Link monthly report, accumulatively 107 products increased year-on-year, accounting for 89.92% of all reported products; of these, products with more than double digits had 85 This accounted for 71.43% of all reported products; cumulatively, there were 11 products that decreased year-on-year, accounting for 9.24% of all reported products. Some of the product output has reached a new level. Details are as follows:
Under the influence of the national agricultural machinery subsidy policy, the output of major agricultural machinery products has grown rapidly, and large-scale tractors, on-site operating machinery, and food processing machinery have grown by more than 30%. In particular, grain processing machinery has grown rapidly, with a year-on-year increase of 50.88%. The year-on-year decline in agricultural machinery products was dedicated equipment for feed production, which fell by 4.26%.
The output of most products in the petrochemical GM industry has increased at different levels compared to the previous year. Products that have maintained growth above 30% include: special equipment for oil refining and chemical production, vacuum pumps, fans, gas compressors, compressors for refrigeration equipment, and oil drilling equipment. Plastic processing equipment and other products, of which oil drilling equipment grew significantly, an increase of 89%. However, the output of gas separation and liquefaction equipment, air pollution control equipment, solid waste treatment equipment, and noise and vibration control equipment have declined in different degrees, and dropped by more than 12% year-on-year.
In 2010, excavation and shovel transportation machinery products maintained rapid growth, among which the excavator and loader grew faster, which was an increase of over 45% year-on-year. Concrete machinery with a lower growth rate is also maintained at more than 9%.
Among the heavy machinery products listed in the monthly report, except for the metal rolling equipment, the other products all had different degrees of growth over the previous year, of which the faster-growing machines were conveyors, which increased by 37.82% year-on-year. Metal rolling equipment decreased by 3.18% year-on-year.
Among the 10 products in the monthly statistics of instrumentation and cultural office equipment industry, there are 8 kinds of products showing increasing trends. The fastest growing products in the instrumentation industry were automotive instrumentation, industrial automation instrumentation and control systems, and optical instruments, which increased by more than 25% year-on-year; environmental monitoring-specific instrumentation and analytical instruments and devices decreased by 1.78% and 1.79%, respectively. The number of cameras, digital cameras and offset offset printing equipment in the cultural and office industry all showed a year-on-year growth. The faster growth was for copying and offset printing equipment, which increased by 22.52% year-on-year.
In 2010, both metal cutting machine tools and metal forming machine tools maintained rapid growth with year-on-year growth of more than 18%. Among them, CNC metal-cutting machine tools had outstanding growth, which was an increase of 66.71% year-on-year, an increase of 67.17 percentage points over the previous year. The year-on-year growth of CNC equipment continues to be more than doubled.
In 2010, the automobile industry continued to develop rapidly under the support of national policies and produced a total of 18.2647 million automobiles, an increase of 32.44% over the previous year. Among them, the increase in passenger cars was 28.17%, the growth rate of multi-purpose passenger cars was 79.89%, and sports multipurpose Vehicles increased by 103.38%, buses by 29.93%, and trucks by 22.72%.
Low-speed trucks changed the downward trend in the first 11 months, which was a year-on-year increase of 1.55%.
In 2010, the production of power generation equipment was 122.6421 million kilowatts, an increase of 4.6% year-on-year, an increase of 16.5 percentage points over the previous year. Judging from the classification of power generation equipment, the hydropower generating units decreased by 9.7% year-on-year, the growth rate decreased by 2.1 percentage points from the previous year, and the turbine generators increased by 1.4% year-on-year, an increase of 19.9 percentage points over the previous year. The output of new energy wind turbines maintained rapid growth, a year-on-year increase of 53.8%. In 2010, the growth of power transmission equipment was rapid, with transformers and power capacitors all growing at more than 27%, and low-voltage switchboards increased by 72.44% year-on-year.
2011 will continue to achieve double-digit growth 2011 is the first year of China's "Twelfth Five-Year Plan". Under the combined effects of multiple factors, the development of the machinery industry is expected to achieve rapid and steady growth from 2010 to the future. change.
From the perspective of favorable factors, the overall economic operating environment of the machinery industry is relatively good. The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†will inject new vitality into the development of the machinery industry, and plan the development of seven strategic emerging industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection, high-end equipment manufacturing, and new energy vehicles. The full launch will bring about the start of construction of a large number of industrial upgrading projects. At the same time, the country’s increased policy support for new strategic industries will boost the long-term development of the industry. In addition, the initial results of industrial restructuring, the acceleration of technological progress, and the rejuvenation of corporate rejuvenation activities, the constant emergence of high-end and new products are all conducive to the healthy development of the industry. In 2011, the global economy began to gradually recover and the foreign trade market experienced a recovery growth. The overall situation will not be worse than in 2010.
Judging from the unfavorable factors, the growth momentum of the mechanical enterprises' own intrinsic momentum still needs to be strengthened; investment growth is beginning to decline, and investment demand is difficult to be optimistic; the overall RMB is still in an upward trend; the import of machinery products will continue to grow at a rapid rate; the rise of international trade protectionism will make foreign trade The situation is hard to be optimistic; costs are on the rise. With the tight supply of coal, electricity, and oil, and the general increase in prices, raw material prices are likely to regain momentum and will push up the cost of the machinery industry; With the gradual elimination of policies, the growth rate of several related industries such as automobiles will tend to be flat.
In summary, in 2011, especially in the first quarter, the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will be significantly lower than that in 2010. It is expected that the growth rate of production and sales in 2011 will fall to around 15%, and the profit growth rate may be low. Increase in production and sales.
The operating status of the machinery industry in 2011 will be presented as follows: While the economic operation speed is falling, the structural upgrading of mechanical products will be more conscious, the merger and reorganization of enterprises will become more active, and the momentum for independent innovation of high-end equipment will be even stronger. It will increasingly shift to R&D and testing, and it is expected that the strength of the basic bottlenecks will gradually increase, and the pace of foreign trade export upgrades will accelerate.
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